Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000797 0.000854 0.000913 0.000981 0.001056 0.001136 0.001229
2025-12-28 0.000680 0.000752 0.000832 0.000927 0.001037 0.001162 0.001316
2026-01-04 0.000610 0.000690 0.000781 0.000893 0.001028 0.001188 0.001394
2026-01-11 0.000567 0.000653 0.000754 0.000881 0.001040 0.001234 0.001494
2026-01-18 0.000536 0.000627 0.000736 0.000877 0.001057 0.001286 0.001603
2026-01-25 0.000578 0.000691 0.000831 0.001018 0.001268 0.001599 0.002087
2026-02-01 0.000538 0.000650 0.000790 0.000981 0.001242 0.001597 0.002134
2026-02-08 0.000507 0.000618 0.000759 0.000955 0.001228 0.001607 0.002197
2026-02-15 0.000484 0.000596 0.000740 0.000943 0.001232 0.001642 0.002300
2026-02-22 0.000460 0.000571 0.000714 0.000920 0.001218 0.001649 0.002359
2026-03-01 0.000434 0.000542 0.000683 0.000888 0.001187 0.001629 0.002371
2026-03-08 0.000416 0.000523 0.000665 0.000873 0.001182 0.001646 0.002445
2026-03-15 0.000395 0.000501 0.000643 0.000854 0.001174 0.001666 0.002540
2026-03-22 0.000366 0.000468 0.000604 0.000810 0.001125 0.001618 0.002515
2026-03-29 0.000346 0.000444 0.000578 0.000782 0.001099 0.001605 0.002549
2026-04-05 0.000332 0.000429 0.000564 0.000772 0.001100 0.001636 0.002668
2026-04-12 0.000321 0.000419 0.000555 0.000768 0.001111 0.001684 0.002823
2026-04-19 0.000346 0.000459 0.000621 0.000885 0.001329 0.002117 0.003827
2026-04-26 0.000328 0.000438 0.000596 0.000855 0.001296 0.002091 0.003856
2026-05-03 0.000314 0.000421 0.000577 0.000833 0.001276 0.002088 0.003935
2026-05-10 0.000304 0.000410 0.000565 0.000823 0.001277 0.002124 0.004110
2026-05-17 0.000292 0.000395 0.000548 0.000804 0.001259 0.002122 0.004196
2026-05-24 0.000279 0.000379 0.000527 0.000777 0.001225 0.002084 0.004187